Will Vanguard's Total Stock Market Index Fund (VTI) close higher on any day in the rest of 2022 than its 1/3/2022 closing price?
33%
chance
Dec 31
M$261 bet
Resolves YES if Vanguard's Total Stock Market Index Fund (VTI) has a closing price on any day in the rest of 2022 of greater than $242.97 (the closing price on 1/3/2022). Data source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VTI/history?p=VTI Small print: (1) I'll use the "Close" price column from the linked data source -- *not* "Adj Close". (2) This market starts starts on 5/6/2022, so any closing price from 5/6/2022 to 12/30/2022 (inclusive) is eligible.