Will @MatthewYglesias's 2024 predictions perform at least as well as his 2023 predictions by his own assessment?
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170Ṁ97resolved Jan 1
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https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
My first year’s predictions were terrible, but I got better in year two, and this year’s calibration is better yet. Still not great, but pretty good.
Resolves N/A if Matt does not publicly and clearly assess his 2024 predictions relative to prior years.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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From https://www.slowboring.com/p/predictions-for-2025:
> The bad news is that after two years of improvement in my calibration, I messed up this year.