
Background
Manifold is implementing a new plan for greater liquidity revolving around bots, known as the Yunaplan after the bot account @Yuna.
Basically, when a user tries to place a market order, they place a ~1-5 second limit order instead, to give the chance for bots to fill the order.
Personally, I'm not sure how good of a plan this is. There aren't really many bots trading on Manifold right now, and the only scenario this seems to work is for sports games where it's easy to find a good source of probabilities. It also makes it less intuitive for users given that if your limit order is unfilled you don't actually buy as much shares as you inputted. Also, this plan allows bots like @Yuna to take money directly from the AMM again, which is known to be not ideal.
Resolution
This market resolves based on my opinion of how well this plan is working at around the closing date of this market. If the answer is already very clear before so I may resolve early, and if I need more time I may extend. If the plan doesn't get implemented this resolves N/A.
I am against this plan, but I will try to resolve this as neutrally as possible. I won't bet here.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ257 | |
2 | Ṁ176 | |
3 | Ṁ160 | |
4 | Ṁ143 | |
5 | Ṁ63 |