When will o3-mini come out [exact day]?
➕
Plus
8
Ṁ3606
Feb 23
0.8%
Jan 23
1%
Jan 24
1.1%
Jan 25
1.1%
Jan 26
2%
Jan 27
8%
Jan 28
8%
Jan 29
17%
Jan 30
5%
Jan 31
56%
Other

Resolves to the exact day that OpenAI's o3 mini model is released to the public. Every day that passes without release, I will add the next day. EST will be used.

  • Update 2025-23-01 (PST): - Releases will not occur on Fridays. (AI summary of creator comment)

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opened a Ṁ25,000 YES at 10% order

fill me fill me

bought Ṁ25 YES

@MingCat wanna bet more on jan30? I think there's decent chance on that date, maybe 10-20%

and maybe 5-15% on jan 31. still can't decide if it's much more than that or those are decent ranges

@Bayesian Don't think so, I'm mostly just keeping what I have as a hedge

i would have liked a jan 30 and jan 31 to distinguish those days from february

wait actually you should be able to add answers @bagelfan i would appreciate those

@Bayesian It's not gonna be Jan 31 they don't release on Fridays

yeah fair

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