When will o3-mini come out [exact day]?

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Ṁ3856

Feb 23

0.8%

Jan 23

Jan 24

1.2%

Jan 25

1.2%

Jan 26

Jan 27

Jan 28

Jan 29

24%

Jan 30

Jan 31

48%

Other

Resolves to the exact day that OpenAI's o3 mini model is released to the public. Every day that passes without release, I will add the next day. EST will be used.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Maybe next Tuesday? That's the 28th

They are hyping o3-mini so hard lol

@ian Another bad AI summary

This feature is not at all useful for me and I hope you reconsider allowing an opt-out.

opened a Ṁ25,000 YES at 10% order

fill me fill me

bought Ṁ25 YES

@MingCat wanna bet more on jan30? I think there's decent chance on that date, maybe 10-20%

and maybe 5-15% on jan 31. still can't decide if it's much more than that or those are decent ranges

@Bayesian Don't think so, I'm mostly just keeping what I have as a hedge

i would have liked a jan 30 and jan 31 to distinguish those days from february

wait actually you should be able to add answers @bagelfan i would appreciate those

@Bayesian It's not gonna be Jan 31 they don't release on Fridays

yeah fair

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