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MANIFOLD
After 4 dice rolls, will I roll a 6?
44
Ṁ100Ṁ3.7k
resolved Sep 14
Resolved
YES

After market close, I will roll 4 dice using @FairlyRandom. If there is at least one 6 rolled, resolves YES. If not, NO.

@mods Unrank please

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6 was rolled on the second attempt.

🤖

@bagelfan your random number is: 6

Salt: s34de1jykxn, round: 4363343 (signature 8a77fc7b37cf86ff395289aa849e57230948f56e19ad38ce07eae6a342b8f684b2572bc67cd068ab61f65131bfa9f9f019cd30514c4e07707bf1546fedfc096def5ae38c9df70e16aa6c17179c9fbbd00147bf0e2894bf89f230e3b1c4a76d91)

🤖

@bagelfan you asked for a random integer between 1 and 6, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4363341 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4363343, salt: s34de1jykxn.

@FairlyRandom 6

🤖

@bagelfan your random number is: 5

Salt: mw5thn974dj, round: 4363333 (signature aebf8b1a4a881e5bab9438b9ed3f0f58a82364fd38a9abb8dc7f33aa323011f33a8bb8e7a9e7ccd79b8b30ac63471a0c0eb8cf33e6845b7944b3a81805d33e2c25763c5c424056b3c6142e0c7e04a9daf37f9cc1943c292031086535a7ef9506)

🤖

@bagelfan you asked for a random integer between 1 and 6, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4363331 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4363333, salt: mw5thn974dj.

@FairlyRandom 6

There is about a 52% probability of resolving yes.

@BarrettStough Yep (5/6)^4=0.48225 so 51.775% if we assume fairlyrandom is fairly random.