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MANIFOLD
Will today's flight UA 5940 (ASE -> LAX) be cancelled or substantially delayed?
8
Ṁ320Ṁ1.3k
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if the United Airlines flight 5940 from Aspen to Los Angeles does not depart within 90 minutes of 7:13pm MST today (March 3).

In the event of a delay, I will check the "Departure" time under Past Flights at https://flightaware.com/live/flight/UAL5940 and resolve YES if the time is later than 08:43pm MST.

EDIT: further clarification: I will resolve the market when the outcome is clear from public information. I am betting in this market, but promise not to make use of private information (e.g. announcements in the airport before flightaware updates).

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Flightaware now says 7:40 expected departure (27 minutes late)

Buying NO bc it's still on time per flightaware

predictedNO

@AMS correction: delayed by 17 minutes

For context, UA 5296 (scheduled for 5:41pm MST) was just cancelled due to inclement weather.