Will the Schumer–Manchin reconciliation bill pass Congress? | Manifold

Will the Schumer–Manchin reconciliation bill pass Congress?

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11

Ṁ894

resolved Aug 12

Resolved

YES

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https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/27/manchin-announces-deal-with-schumer-on-reconciliation-bill-with-tax-climate-energy-provisions.html

This market will be updated with the official title and number of the bill when they are available.

Aug 4, 5:35pm: The bill is called the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (H.R. 5376). This market will resolve based on whether H.R. 5376 is passed during the 117th Congress regardless of its content at passing.

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predictedYES

Passed the house

predictedYES

House vote is today. Place your bets!

predictedYES

Passed the Senate 51-50:

https://on.ft.com/3C4AVOj

How will this resolve if the bill is modified?

predictedYES

@Charlie I am only tracking whether the Inflation Reduction Act passes.

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