For "officially licensed physical pinball machine" to resolve YES, it needs to be a purchasable product, and not a promotional device situated in the lobby of the premiere of a new Pokemon movie or something like that.

Releasing the ROMs on Nintendo Switch Online or something like that doesn't count as a remake.

If there's a game like F-Zero 99 is to the SNES F-Zero but for the gameboy version of Pokemon Pinball then I would say that that's a form of remake, but also a new game, so both the non-remake and remake would resolve YES.

It has to have flippers, not something that is called pinball but isn't actually pinball like the pinball game for the Pokemon Mini.

See my other market:
https://manifold.markets/asmith/will-there-be-a-new-pokemon-pinball