Which team will win the 2024 CONMEBOL Libertadores.
This question closes a day before the final.
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In the statistical analysis of the Copa Libertadores final, Boca Juniors emerges as the undisputed favorite. Their impressive historical achievements speak for themselves: five-time champions in 1977, 1978, 2000, 2003, and 2007, and sub-champions on five more occasions in 1963, 1979, 2004, 2012, and 2018. This consistency in the tournament's final stages reflects unparalleled skill and a winning mentality.
In contrast, Fluminense has only participated in one Copa Libertadores final in 2008, which they lost. This lack of experience compared to Boca Juniors' rich history is a significant disparity.
Furthermore, Boca Juniors' goalkeeper, Romero, has shone in crucial moments, especially in penalty shootouts, where his stellar performance has led the team to victory on multiple occasions. This ability in high-pressure situations adds a crucial element in favor of Boca Juniors.
Even looking at the overall picture of titles, Boca Juniors leads with 72 titles, while Fluminense has only won 7, underscoring the disparity in the historical achievements of both teams.
These objective and statistical data provide a solid foundation for considering Boca Juniors as the clear favorite in this Copa Libertadores final, supporting a choice based on history and proven performance.
You make great points, Carlos! In addition: Boca Juniors’ team is valued at 85.2 million euros, and Fluminense’s at only 56.7 million. It also had a better campaign in the group’s phase of the tournament.
On the other hand, some point that may favor Fluminense:
- One of its players, Cano, is Libertadores’ greatest scorer
- Fluminense didn’t loose any of its playoff games
- Boca Juniors didn’t win any of its playoff games (it advanced only thanks to penalties)
- The final will be in Maracanã. The seats will be split 50/50 among the teams, but Fluminense is used to play there and Boca Juniors is not.
- The last four championships have been won by Brazilian teams. Never has an Argentinean tem won a Libertadores in its current format (in which the final is in only one game).