Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections?
27
219
450
2025
72%
chance

Resolves positively if Von der Leyen is nominated by the European Council and elected by the European Parliament, for a second five-year term after the 2024 European elections.

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predicts NO

Just leaving this here. Why do you think Stoltenberg’s term was elongated by 1 year?

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eus-von-der-leyen-is-running-be-new-nato-head-the-sun-2023-03-31/

predicts NO

@marktwse More directly

predicts NO

@marktwse IMHO the United States have the strongest impact, and we know who Biden favors.

predicts NO

Should be arbitraged against

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