
Background Spotify Wrapped is an annual personalized recap of users' listening habits throughout the year. Historically, Spotify has released Wrapped in early December, typically during the first week of the month. The exact release date is not announced in advance and has varied year to year.
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the official release date when Spotify Wrapped 2024 becomes available to all users globally. The release date will be determined by:
The date when Spotify officially announces Wrapped 2024 is live
The date when the majority of users can access their Wrapped experience through the Spotify app
If Spotify does a staged rollout over multiple days, the market will resolve based on the official announcement date or when access is granted to the majority of users, whichever comes first.
Considerations
Spotify sometimes does "soft launches" where some users get early access. These will not count as the official release date
There may be technical issues or delays on launch day that affect some users' ability to access Wrapped. These won't affect resolution unless they impact the majority of users
If Spotify significantly changes the format or timing of Wrapped in 2024 but still releases a year-end user statistics feature under a different name, this market will still resolve based on that release date
If Spotify discontinues Wrapped or doesn't release a 2024 version, the market will resolve N/A
There's a version of question where all the options automatically add up to 100%. I think it's called "multiple choice" as opposed to this one which is called "set". Might be worth NAing this one and making a new one, since this sounds like the sort of thing that can only resolve to one option. It'll be a better experience for traders and maybe more accurate
@Fion Ah yes this makes more sense. Thank you!, here is the new market https://manifold.markets/hima999/what-day-will-spotify-wrapped-be-re-RhO55E9uRt