The linked market is set up to extend its closing until consensus is reached in Martin's opinion.
This market will resolve when 2029 ends.
Why this market? In my opinion the linked market is quite probably way off. If the linked market is likely to resolve, it is worth tracking the market and betting my belief. If it "never" will, the market can stay wrong indefinitely, and my expected value is hard to decide. Therefore this market, which is more decidable.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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