Will Manifold Markets users send me $10 worth of crypto to cause this question to resolve YES before the end of the Winter Olympics?

33

228

Ṁ2.6k

Ṁ100

resolved Feb 20

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves to "YES" if and only if the total value of all incoming transactions to the wallets listed below exceeds the equivalent of $10 before the end of the Winter Olympics. Solana: https://solscan.io/account/EztYGQvMGy9shzgpWNox9U8zHkHPK5mSgXxo3PFWHyPQ Polygon: https://polygonscan.com/address/0x9655F2F2962633826DcAEBd61D15E00cdA17938a Tezos: https://tzstats.com/tz1cv4r95y3JLeJyxAyXwSmzHFg8v5vgMdBo Only transactions submitted prior to 12am ET on 20th February 2022 are counted up. I determine the final value of all transactions by looking up the token prices on 20th February. Feb 18, 1:10pm: Alright, now I was just wondering if you consider myself to be a Manifold Markets user?

Get Ṁ200 play money

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🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ236
2		Ṁ16
3		Ṁ9
4		Ṁ6
5		Ṁ4

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bought Ṁ3 of YES

Yiihaa, successful experiment! @EllieHigh thank you, I channeled it as a crypto donation to EA Funds.

bought Ṁ100 of YES

You guys got me good on this. I can feel the CHAOS flowing through me!

bought Ṁ300 of YES

@S G she said "fuck the rational actors" :)

bought Ṁ1 of YES

@EllieHigh (assuming you are the one that sent the crypto), you know you could have bought M$ 1,000 for 10 USD directly on the platform, right?

bought Ṁ100 of YES

This should resolve YES. I see $12 in the Solana wallet right now. https://solscan.io/account/EztYGQvMGy9shzgpWNox9U8zHkHPK5mSgXxo3PFWHyPQ A+ grift, @alexlyzhov

bought Ṁ900 of YES

fuck the rational actors

bought Ṁ1 of YES

"Hey bro, just sent you $10 in crypto wanted to make sure you got it."

bought Ṁ1 of YES

Alright, now I was just wondering if you consider myself to be a Manifold Markets user?

bought Ṁ1 of NO

You can currently win at most M$42+M$40 by moving this market towards YES. But if you give US$10 to Manifold Markets, you'll get M$1000. So it's a hard NO.

bought Ṁ1 of YES

Nobody sent me any crypto!

bought Ṁ1 of YES

You can also arbitrage with this one: https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-manifold-markets-users-send-al

bought Ṁ1 of NO

Put together this market derivative on your market. https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-user-alexlyzhov-solicitation-o

bought Ṁ4 of NO

Setting yourself up for failure by starting the market at >50$

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Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1000 from Manifold "prize points" in 2024?

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Will any Manifold user withdraw at least $1000 from Manifold "prize points" in 2024?

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