Will Manifold Markets users send me $10 worth of crypto to cause this question to resolve YES before the end of the Winter Olympics?

Ṁ100Ṁ2.6k

resolved Feb 20

Resolved

YES

ALL

This market resolves to "YES" if and only if the total value of all incoming transactions to the wallets listed below exceeds the equivalent of $10 before the end of the Winter Olympics. Solana: https://solscan.io/account/EztYGQvMGy9shzgpWNox9U8zHkHPK5mSgXxo3PFWHyPQ Polygon: https://polygonscan.com/address/0x9655F2F2962633826DcAEBd61D15E00cdA17938a Tezos: https://tzstats.com/tz1cv4r95y3JLeJyxAyXwSmzHFg8v5vgMdBo Only transactions submitted prior to 12am ET on 20th February 2022 are counted up. I determine the final value of all transactions by looking up the token prices on 20th February. Feb 18, 1:10pm: Alright, now I was just wondering if you consider myself to be a Manifold Markets user?

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Yiihaa, successful experiment! @EllieHigh thank you, I channeled it as a crypto donation to EA Funds.

You guys got me good on this. I can feel the CHAOS flowing through me!

@S G she said "fuck the rational actors" :)

@EllieHigh (assuming you are the one that sent the crypto), you know you could have bought M$ 1,000 for 10 USD directly on the platform, right?

This should resolve YES. I see $12 in the Solana wallet right now. https://solscan.io/account/EztYGQvMGy9shzgpWNox9U8zHkHPK5mSgXxo3PFWHyPQ A+ grift, @alexlyzhov

fuck the rational actors

"Hey bro, just sent you $10 in crypto wanted to make sure you got it."

Alright, now I was just wondering if you consider myself to be a Manifold Markets user?

You can currently win at most M$42+M$40 by moving this market towards YES. But if you give US$10 to Manifold Markets, you'll get M$1000. So it's a hard NO.

Nobody sent me any crypto!

You can also arbitrage with this one: https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-manifold-markets-users-send-al

Put together this market derivative on your market. https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-user-alexlyzhov-solicitation-o

Setting yourself up for failure by starting the market at >50$

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