Will Carmack head Elon’s new AI company?
28
510Ṁ7234resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
John Carmack is working on AI now. Elon Musk says he's starting an AI company. Recently Carmack attended the Starship launch:

Will Carmack have a technical leadership position at Elon's AI company? Also resolves YES if he's a co-founder.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ357 | |
2 | Ṁ126 | |
3 | Ṁ69 | |
4 | Ṁ54 | |
5 | Ṁ41 |
Sort by:
@RobertCousineau From my resolution criteria above, after the picture:
Will Carmack have a technical leadership position at Elon's AI company? Also resolves YES if he's a co-founder.
It's still possible Carmack will be hired into x.ai. If he doesn't by Jan 1st 2024, I'll resolve NO.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Emmett Shear's new company make important and central contributions to AI alignment?
25% chance
Will AI be able to outperform Elon Musk as CEO of Twitter before 2025?
11% chance
Will Carmack’s AI lab be top 5?
45% chance
Will Sam Altman or Greg Brockman join a Elon Musk AI lab?
12% chance
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI?
2% chance
Will Elon Musk be one of Time's '100 Most Influential People in AI' in 2025?
72% chance
Will Elon Musk create the first AGI by 2030?
5% chance
OpenAI Announces that its CEO/Leader will have AI components (Software + human or alone) by mid 2026
17% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
63% chance
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
48% chance