Which AI company will have the highest-ranked Super Bowl LX ad on USA TODAY Ad Meter?
3
250Ṁ41
Feb 9
10%
OpenAI (ChatGPT)
10%
Anthropic (Claude)
25%
Google (Gemini)
6%
Microsoft (Copilot)
6%
xAI (Grok)
10%
Amazon (Rufus, Alexa)
10%
Meta (Llama)
6%
Apple (Siri)
6%
Perplexity AI
11%
Other

Some AI model companies have begun advertising during the Super Bowl, and ad “popularity” is commonly measured using USA TODAY’s Ad Meter, a long-running and widely cited ranking of in-game Super Bowl commercials based on viewer ratings.

This market asks which company will have the highest-ranked in-game Super Bowl commercial according to the official USA TODAY Ad Meter results for this year’s Super Bowl.

This market is intentionally limited to AI model or AI assistant brands and excludes hardware, autonomous vehicles, and unrelated consumer products. No META glasses, no Waymo.

Resolution rules

  1. Source of truth: The official USA TODAY Ad Meter rankings for this year’s Super Bowl.

  2. Only paid, in-game commercials that appear in the Ad Meter rankings count.

  3. The AI model or assistant brand must be the primary subject of the ad, not a passing feature mention.

  4. If a company has multiple eligible ads, use that company’s highest-ranked ad.

  5. The market resolves to the company whose eligible ad ranks highest overall among the listed options.

  6. If no eligible AI model company appears in the Ad Meter rankings, the market resolves to None.

The 2026 Super Bowl Ad Meter winner will be announced live and on admeter.usatoday.com the morning after the game, Monday, Feb 9, 2026.

Market close timing: Sat, Feb 7, 2026 (before game day)

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

My top pick is Google (gemini) and second would be Amazon (rufus) because both companies have established marketing chops and top agencies. Also, they'd benefit from extending their consumer brands in the mass market.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy