Update: This market resolves strictly according to the official results of the Chilean National Plebiscite on Sunday 17th of December.

The major political parties of Chile just reached an agreement to draft a new constitution written by a mixed body of experts and elected constituents.

Assuming this agreement will be formalized by law, what's the probability that this new proposal gets approved by the Chilean people?

If the process doesn't get approved by congress or otherwise the final vote doesn't happen, this will resolve to N/A.