Reporting that the gang claims the landlord is approving them, but the lease hasn't been signed yet. You could probably buy to 90%.

@noumena I'm mostly just playing around. Thinking maybe outsiders might have a better outer-view idea of how likely are some things to work / how fast will they work when it comes to stuff I am planning to do short-term-ish, but don't have a great handle on myself. For example, US healthcare.

It is unclear what the point of these markets are, except to reward insiders on expectation for outsiders being so foolish as to hazard a guess.

May 20, 9:31pm: same gang as in https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-we-successfully-rent-the-4bed1

May 20, 9:31pm: also same gang as in https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/what-should-we-call-the-4bed15-unit, https://manifold.markets/agentydragon/will-i-join-the-group-house-under-a.

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