How many members will the Furry Rationalists telegram group have at market close date?
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I admin a Telegram group for intersection of furries and rationalists. As of 2023-01-22, we have 69 members.
We will probably have some organic growth, but might also possibly prune out some people who never posted.
If more or less than bounds of this market, resolves to the min/max.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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These numerical markets are weird. The expected number doesn't seem to increase in a predictable way if I increase the number of shares bet. I bought 3 mana worth of shares, causing it to increase by 5, but if I had only bought two mana's worth, it wouldn't have increased at all. I wonder if the algorithm used to round the displayed value does something weird under the hood.