Fermi: What Bevo number will we be on after a million Texas football games?
3
200Ṁ275resolved Nov 14
100%11%
MMI-V̅ (2,001-5,000)
3%
XV-XXX (15-30)
3%
XXXI-C (31-100)
5%
CI-D (101-500)
5%
DI-MM (501-2,000)
5%
V̅I-X̅X̅ (5,001-20,000)
50%
X̅X̅I-C̅ (20,001-100,000)
17%
C̅I+ (100,001+)
This is a fun example of a forecast that requires question decomposition. Use Guesstimate!
Assume that the college football schedule remains the same, no radical longhorn life extension, etc. The "million football games" includes all Texas Longhorn games, home and away.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@adk nah this was my calculation too, no complaints here, just curious about the epistemic honesty of not waiting a million texas games