Fermi: What Bevo number will we be on after a million Texas football games?
3
85
Ṁ200
resolved Nov 14
100%11%
MMI-V̅ (2,001-5,000)
3%
XV-XXX (15-30)
3%
XXXI-C (31-100)
5%
CI-D (101-500)
5%
DI-MM (501-2,000)
5%
V̅I-X̅X̅ (5,001-20,000)
50%
X̅X̅I-C̅ (20,001-100,000)
17%
C̅I+ (100,001+)

This is a fun example of a forecast that requires question decomposition. Use Guesstimate!

Assume that the college football schedule remains the same, no radical longhorn life extension, etc. The "million football games" includes all Texas Longhorn games, home and away.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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LOL what how was this resolved 💀

@CodyRushing

@adk tell me if I’m wrong and I can change it

@adk nah this was my calculation too, no complaints here, just curious about the epistemic honesty of not waiting a million texas games

@CodyRushing oh lol I said “fermi” and set the close date to today

@adk i wont complain for 60 free mana

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