Will any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end?
7
Ṁ13652041
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"England Police say they will extradite and imprison Americans over social media posts": https://x.com/Bubblebathgirl/status/1821935308578976249 (the guy in the video doesn't say this explicitly but is saying weird shit nonetheless)
By the end of 2040, will there be at least one publicly-known case of:
an American citizen
officially extradited to another country
with the co-operation of the US government
over speech that is currently (as of 2024-AUG-10) legal/covered under free speech in the US
If "what counted as free speech in the US in 2024?" is controversial in 2040, then the whether it would have counted as free speech should be decided by querying some LLM trained before 2025 that we will still have access to.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Julian Assange be extradited to the US by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will the UK government attempt to extradite Elon musk, or sue him personally for incitement or another offence?
Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
32% chance
Who will be convicted for acting as an unregistered foreign agent before 2030?
Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?
41% chance
Will Julian Assange be extradited to the United States by January 2025?
7% chance
Will a journalist in the U.S. face imprisonment or fines due to their professional activities before 2029?
22% chance
Will the Z-Library admins be extradited to the United States by the end of 2025?
17% chance