What will be true of Olivia Rodrigo's next album, 'You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love'?
23
แน1kแน3.4kJun 30
93%
It will have more than 12 songs
84%
It will debut at #1 on the Billboard 200
84%
It will have a Metacritic rating of 60% or higher one week post-release
81%
It will debut at #1 on Spotify's global albums chart
72%
Pitchfork will describe at least one song as a 'ballad'
68%
Pitchfork will describe at least one song as pop-punk
57%
Pitchfork will rate it higher than SOUR (>7.0)
45%
It will have a Metacritic rating of 90% or higher one week post-release
23%
Pitchfork will rate it higher than GUTS (>8.0)
Clarifications
Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market refer to the main album and its songs as initially released, excluding any further additions such as bonus tracks, acoustic versions, remixes and deluxe editions.
Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market must resolve no later than two weeks after the album is released. The close date may be changed accordingly.
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Update 2026-03-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For options related to pop-punk: Pitchfork describing the album as a whole as pop-punk is sufficient for YES resolution, even if no specific song is singled out.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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