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MANIFOLD
What will be true of Olivia Rodrigo's next album, 'You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love'?
9
แน€1kแน€352
May 17
67%
It will have a Metacritic rating of 60% or higher one week post-release
64%
Pitchfork will describe at least one song as pop-punk
63%
It will debut at #1 on Spotify's global albums chart
59%
Pitchfork will describe at least one song as a 'ballad'
52%
Pitchfork will rate it higher than SOUR (>7.0)
50%
It will debut at #1 on the Billboard 200
50%
It will have more than 12 songs
45%
It will have a Metacritic rating of 90% or higher one week post-release
43%
Pitchfork will rate it higher than GUTS (>8.0)

Clarifications

Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market refer to the main album and its songs as initially released, excluding any further additions such as bonus tracks, acoustic versions, remixes and deluxe editions.

Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market must resolve no later than two weeks after the album is released. The close date may be changed accordingly.

I will not trade in this market.

  • Update 2026-03-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For options related to pop-punk: Pitchfork describing the album as a whole as pop-punk is sufficient for YES resolution, even if no specific song is singled out.

Market context
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In case this isn't clear, Pitchfork describing the album as a whole as pop-punk would be sufficient to resolve this YES even if no specific song is singled out