What will be true of Olivia Rodrigo's next album, 'You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love'?
24
แน1kแน3.9kJun 30
95%
It will have a Metacritic rating of 60% or higher one week post-release
85%
It will debut at #1 on the Billboard 200
81%
It will debut at #1 on Spotify's global albums chart
50%
It will have a Metacritic rating of 90% or higher one week post-release
38%
Pitchfork will describe at least one song as pop-punk
Resolved
YESIt will have more than 12 songs
Resolved
YESPitchfork will rate it higher than SOUR (>7.0)
Resolved
YESPitchfork will rate it higher than GUTS (>8.0)
Resolved
YESPitchfork will describe at least one song as a 'ballad'
Clarifications
Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market refer to the main album and its songs as initially released, excluding any further additions such as bonus tracks, acoustic versions, remixes and deluxe editions.
Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market must resolve no later than two weeks after the album is released. The close date may be changed accordingly.
I will not trade in this market.
Update 2026-03-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For options related to pop-punk: Pitchfork describing the album as a whole as pop-punk is sufficient for YES resolution, even if no specific song is singled out.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Market context
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