How will South Korea be classified in the next edition of The Economist's Democracy Index?
How will South Korea be classified in the next edition of The Economist's Democracy Index?
30
100Ṁ1486resolved Feb 27
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%34%
Flawed democracy
66%
Full democracy
0.2%
Hybrid regime
0.2%
Authoritarian regime
Resolves to the classification given to South Korea in the next edition of The Economist's Democracy Index published after 4 December 2024.
Update 2025-02-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update to Resolution Criteria:
The market will resolve as a win only if the official publication of The Economist's Democracy Index classifies South Korea as flawed democracy.
In all other cases, the market does not resolve as predicted by this clarification.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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