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MANIFOLD
Debut (Taylor's Version) prop bets
2
Ṁ1.4kṀ818
Dec 31
80%
Pitchfork rates it 5.0 or higher
80%
Metacritic rating is 60 or higher after a week
80%
It debuts at #1 on the Billboard 200
80%
Jack Antonoff has at least one production credit
80%
Aaron Dessner has at least one production credit
80%
Metacritic rating is 70 or higher after a week
69%
Pitchfork rates it higher than the original (>6.7)
63%
More than six vault tracks are included
60%
Pitchfork rates it 7.5 or higher
50%
The album is announced on 7 August 2026
50%
The album is released on 23 October 2026
39%
A piano version of the album is also released
37%
It sweeps the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100
31%
A pop version of the album is also released

Options

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Please note:

  • I may edit options for the sake of clarity

  • I may edit or void duplicate options

  • I will not substantively edit options that have already been traded on

  • I may void any option I deem too difficult to resolve

Clarifications

This market concerns the re-recording of Taylor Swift's debut, self-titled album, 'Taylor Swift' (2006). The market will apply regardless of whether the album is branded as 'Taylor's Version', a 20th anniversary edition or something else.

Unless indicated otherwise, the deadline for each option is 14 days after the album is released.

Unless indicated otherwise, the default time zone for options in this market is that of New York City.

If an option is unfalsifiable, there will be a presumption in favour of resolving NO.

If no re-recording is announced by the end of 2026, unresolved options may be voided.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Market context
Entertainment and Pop Culture
Culture
Music
Celebrities
Taylor Swift
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