arae

resolved Jan 20

Market is not endorsement Polls

Is @DesTiny more trustworthy than @IsaacKing? [resolves to poll]

Resolved

YES

ALL

Resolves to YES if DesTiny has more votes in the following poll on 1/19/23, and NO if Isaac has more votes:

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1	Simon	Ṁ866
2	rotor walrus	Ṁ778
3	Rougee	Ṁ342
4	dggL	Ṁ268
5	Genzy	Ṁ170

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Paras Dalal

Whatsap wirh markets

DesTinypredicted YES

So when is he gonna send me his badge?

Simonpredicted YES

@DesTiny lmfao

araebought Ṁ2,000 of YES

Rougeebought Ṁ125 of YES

Genzypredicted YES at 95%

Destiny is one of the best market makers (this comment was sponsored by DesTiny)

juzzibought Ṁ10 of YES

i don't know who this density guy is but i'd trust him with my life savings

meme stockbought Ṁ10 of YES

DesTiny is based and he can do no wrong (please deposit the funds soon)

DesTinypredicted YES at 81%

@memestock based

Paras Dalal

@DesTiny yes

Yoav

Now destiny voters can make a ton of money doing the reverse!

DesTinypredicted YES at 57%

Manifold in the WildBot

Manifold in the wild: VOTE DESTINY

[https://manifold.markets/a/is-destiny-more-trustworthy-than-is#k954llq7IpvOI3C1dke1](https://manifold.markets/a/is-destiny-more-trustworthy-than-is#k954llq7IpvOI3C1dke1) important link, you must vote for destiny or else we will be in shamblesURL: https://www.reddit.com/r/Destiny/comments/10fp83h/vote_destiny/

Simonbought Ṁ130 of YES

@RogerYang :OMEGALUL:

Rougeebought Ṁ249 of YES

@Simon1551 Guy gives me mana, what can I say

Simonsold Ṁ121 of YES

@RogerYang How did you find this tho?

Rougeepredicted YES at 40%

@Simon1551 Just browsing

DesTinypredicted YES at 25%

Shambles

DesTinypredicted YES at 26%

Btw if I win the poll Isaac is contractually obligated to give me his badge

DesTinypredicted YES at 26%

@a :(

DesTinypredicted YES at 26%

@Simon1551 W

Simon

Shouldn't the chance be around the poll's votes result ?

Simon

@Simon1551 Probably Around 45

Simonbought Ṁ96 of YES

@Simon1551 41% actually

araebought Ṁ100 of NO

@Simon1551 No, because the market resolves YES or NO based on whoever gets the most votes; it would make sense to trade to the % of votes if it resolved PROB.

Simonbought Ṁ26 of YES

@a nice

DesTinybought Ṁ40 of YES

Btw if it resolves yes I’ll give everyone with more 75 yes shares a nice subsidy of mana in their bank :)

araebought Ṁ25 of NO

if it's a tie I'll resolve PROB at 50%