Will this market close with an even %
22
Ṁ100Ṁ3kFeb 21
40%
chance
17
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if the market closes with a probability that rounds to an even number. It resolves NO if the market closes with a probability that rounds to an odd number. Resolution will be determined by the final probability displayed on the market page at the time of closure.
Considerations
The final probability depends on the aggregate of all trades placed before market closure. Even percentages are relatively common outcomes given the discrete nature of probability movements, but the exact likelihood depends on trading volume and the distribution of final positions.
This description was generated by AI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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