
Resolution criteria
The market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Miami on November 12, 2025. According to AccuWeather, the forecast high is 74°F. Resolution will be determined by the official National Weather Service Miami forecast or recorded data from Miami International Airport (MIA), available at https://www.weather.gov/tbw/Miami or https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/fl/miami.
Background
Today is forecast to be partly sunny and pleasant. Weather Underground forecasts a high near 75°F. Multiple forecasts cluster around 74-75°F for the daily high.
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Will probably end up at 76. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA
@ChristopherRandles Wunderground seems to use data recorded every hour, which miss the temperature at other times.
According to weather.gov the highest temperature was recorded at 12:42AM: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA.
Kalshi also has 99% confidence at the 75-76 interval: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighmia/highest-temperature-in-miami/kxhighmia-25nov12