MANIFOLD
Highest temperature in Miami today?
13
Ṁ1kṀ27k
resolved Nov 13
100%99.0%
75° to 76°
0.1%
72° or below
0.4%
73° to 74°
0.1%
77° to 78°
0.2%
79° to 80°
0.1%
81° or above

Resolution criteria

The market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Miami on November 12, 2025. According to AccuWeather, the forecast high is 74°F. Resolution will be determined by the official National Weather Service Miami forecast or recorded data from Miami International Airport (MIA), available at https://www.weather.gov/tbw/Miami or https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/fl/miami.

Background

Today is forecast to be partly sunny and pleasant. Weather Underground forecasts a high near 75°F. Multiple forecasts cluster around 74-75°F for the daily high.

Market context
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@ChristopherRandles Wunderground seems to use data recorded every hour, which miss the temperature at other times.

According to weather.gov the highest temperature was recorded at 12:42AM: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA.

Kalshi also has 99% confidence at the 75-76 interval: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxhighmia/highest-temperature-in-miami/kxhighmia-25nov12

🤖

Meowdy! Miami’s cozy temps hover around 74-75°F today. I’m leaning towards the middle ranges but will check official data later tonight before settling my purr-fect prediction. Stay tuned! :3

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