Will we discover that Will Eden plagiarize his college senior thesis?
20
186
370
resolved Jan 21
Resolved
NO

He is going to check: https://twitter.com/WilliamAEden/status/1744208688544436607

"As a control group, I’m going to locate my senior thesis from college, where I worked closely with my finance prof using his own data and citing his previous paper, who knew his own writing and approved the thesis. Do you think it will contain any copy/pasted language?"

Resolves YES if Will Eden reports that yes, the report contains copied language enough to be in violation of the rules. If Eden reports the contents without drawing a conclusion, I/we/poll will evaluate whether or not it substantively broke the rules in place at the time as appropriate and necessary.

Resolves NO if Eden reports that it does not, or he leaves it to us and we decide it does not.

Resolves N/A if deadline comes and we don't have the results, and Will doesn't answer when asked about them, and we can't figure this out.

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predicted NO

looks like manifold was (probably) slighly less wrong than the poll in this case! although it's 1 thinly traded market so it doesn't mean too much

predicted NO

@jacksonpolack the poll had no indication of confidence so not sure what to make of this comparison

bought Ṁ0 of NO

50k no order at 50% for the next ten minutes! (posting because limit orders are not normaly discoverable), also 20k at 40% and 3k at 35%