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Twitter has undone the change and puts the headline text in HTML itself - no major news sites that I just looked at appear to put the headline text in the images

@jacksonpolack Substack links were doing it, and I was concerned they wouldn't revert in time for this market and that Zvi might follow a lot of people who link to substacks - but yeah, since they've reverted I don't see any now.

Almost all russian news sites do this for some reason (many did even before twitter removed the titles)

Also, twitter seem to have reverted now, so the title is duplicated:

Curious what your perspective would be on the current way things are on desktop, with headline text embedded automatically in the article preview image?

Current situation:

• Twitter has rolled back the change on mobile, but not desktop.

• Substack puts headline text in their images

• No other major sites I know of put text in their images yet

Twitter on mobile has rolled back the change. Not on desktop yet.

The "will this N/A" market is https://manifold.markets/tempo/will-twitter-x-roll-back-part-or-al

Looks like this will N/A

Paul Graham predicts yes, loud and obnoxious: https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1710227195916869786

Websites can choose between two different link preview styles, summary_large_image and summary. The style just changed is summary_large_image. The summary style has an image on the left, with title and description on the right (example: https://twitter.com/ch402/status/1710054251165052956). LW is in the process of changing so that links to it will use the latter style. While we could instead generate images that have title text in them, this is a bunch of work and I expect most other sites to also choose the summary style.

What if the change is reversed by Twitter? I assume then it’s also a yes?

@MrLuke255 I hadn't thought about it, but I'm going to say this resolves N/A if Twitter reverses its policy in time.

@ZviMowshowitz that would be in keeping with my tweet, as I prefaced the prediction with "if this change isn’t reversed by Twitter soon" (fwiw, I think I'm >50% that twitter will reverse this decision)

@DanielEth Also, a couple other clarifications about my prediction:
• it was specifically about articles (eg from MSM), not all links. I don't expect previous articles to be updated in this way, and I think other websites could be slower to adjust. So, it's possible my prediction is right but this resolves as No (which is fine, just flagging that you're asking a slightly different question from me)
• I think it's possible that media does this, but then after some time twitter takes actions to prevent them (eg uses AI to remove the headline in the text, or deprioritizes articles with text in their images), in which case this could resolve no but I'd consider my prediction to be correct (I wasn't trying to predict what future policies may come from twitter, just what the effect of this one policy is if there isn't further policy change)

@DanielEth yep, I have learned not to let perfect be enemy of good and get something up quickly that I know how to word that still seems interesting.

@MrLuke255 Relevant https://manifold.markets/co/will-twitter-x-roll-back-part-or-al

Will Twitter (X) roll back part or all of the October change to link embeds in a meaningful way before the end of 2023?

31% chance. This market resolves YES if an embed is reworked or reverted such that the default behaviour is to show >75 characters from the embed's title or >75 characters from the description. Either or both will resolve as YES. This market will resolve NO there is no change, or if there is a change but user input is required to view (for example, mouseover, clicking), or if it is part of a premium subscription not available to all users, or if it is a non-default setting. This will only be tested on desktop in a Chromium browser at 1440p. If there is clearly reported ambiguity such as A/B testing where both groups have a substantial population, there will be a week wait to allow things to become more clear before resolution. _ Musk promised this change in August, and now it is here. Here it is covered by The Verge. And here is an example of the new embed look: [image]Here is an example of how the same post looks on a client that hadn't received the update. [image]