Will the Whales vs. Minnows Market Resolves to Yes?
105
105
1.9K
resolved Apr 30
Resolved
NO

Resolves to Yes if the Whales vs. Minnows Market ultimately resolves to Yes
Resolves to No if the Whales vs. Minnows Market ultimately resolves to No
Resolves to N/A if the Whales vs. Minnows Market ultimately resolves to N/A


I will wait for 3 days after the Whales vs. Minnows Market resolved to resolve this market in case there is a resolution correction.

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JohnsonDaniel avatar
Johnson Daniel

why are the price mismatched?

DylanSlagh avatar
Dylan Slaghpredicted YES

@JohnsonDaniel lack of people arbitraging. I think the arbitrage bot is out of money

VictorLJZ avatar
Victor Lipredicted NO

note that you can actually bet down this market to its true probability without fearing that doing so would endanger the NO bettors and give Isaac cheaper shares

Fion avatar
Fionpredicted YES

@VictorLi but if you do, I'll buy it back up, while also buying more NO in WvM, guaranteeing myself a profit.

(Or rather, somebody else will get to it first.)

Buying this market down below WvM does unfortunately lower the price of WvM because there's always somebody who cares more about their own profit than the minnow cause, and assuming the markets resolve identically, there will always be free money to be made by arbitrage if they don't match.

bingeworthy avatar
bingeworthy

@Fion It is like quantum entanglement, these two markets are inextricably linked