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Will the S&P500 be greater than 4x its Jan 1, 2023 price on Jan 1, 2033?
Basic
17
Ṁ6062033
55%
chance
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4x in ten years is a 14.9% annual growth rate. This seems unlikely to happen if not for economic growth driven by AI. This is basically a bet that AI bring significant economic growth within ten years.
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