Will the S&P500 be greater than 4x its Jan 1, 2023 price on Jan 1, 2033?
17
32
แน€350
2033
55%
chance

4x in ten years is a 14.9% annual growth rate. This seems unlikely to happen if not for economic growth driven by AI. This is basically a bet that AI bring significant economic growth within ten years.

Get แน€200 play money
1 Comment
16 Holders
37 Trades
Sort by:
bought แน€10 of NO

The S&P could also rise due to high inflation rates (see the Argentinian stock market as an extreme example). I would give a lower chance if you considered the inflation adjusted growth rate.

Related questions