Will Trump replace Iran with Italy in the World Cup?

Ṁ1kṀ7.4k

Apr 29

chance

ALL

Context: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-envoy-seeks-replace-iran-with-italy-upcoming-world-cup-ft-reports-2026-04-22/

Resolves YES if the Italian team takes Iran's place in the upcoming World Cup. Resolves NO otherwise. It does not matter how exactly this happens (e.g., whether or not Trump is responsible).

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 4% order

@Ziddletwix I assume that if it's announced but the decision is reversed (or something more extreme like World Cup is canceled) due to backlash and Italy doesn't actually play in the World Cup, this market would resolve NO right, as Italy wouldn't be "tak[ing] Iran's place in the upcoming World Cup."