"Madame Web" (2024) Rotten Tomatoes page: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/madame_web
Explanation:
I will use the "Tomatometer" score (i.e. critics, not audience), and the number of percentage points.
For reference, "Venom" (2018) lists a score of 30%. This is larger than the total points scored in Super Bowl LIII (13-3 -> 16 total), and smaller than the total points scored in Super Bowl LIV (31-20 -> 51 total, the previous matchup between these teams).
I will use the listed percentage score, however RT chooses to round it. Thus for a 20-10 final score, Venom would have resolved NO at 30%, regardless of the true underlying proportion.
I will check RT on February 28th (i.e. two weeks after Feb 14 release) to resolve the market using the score that's listed when I check. While I doubt the score will still be meaningfully shifting, I can't guarantee exactly when that day I'll have time to check and resolve the market.
If any aspects of the resolution criteria are unclear, please ask.
1,000
3.00Madame Web currently has 13% with 180 reviews in. Even if the next 100 reviews were miraculously 100% positive (to get it to roughly the Morbius review count), it would still have a RT score below 47%. Thus I'd prefer to resolve this market a bit early, as there's nothing more interesting here to track, and the result is mathematically certain. Please LMK if anyone has an issue with early resolution!
@Ziddletwix At the end of the weekend, Madame Web is currently at 13% with 183 reviews in. As before, it is mathematically impossible for it to reach 47%, under any assumptions. As no one has flagged any issues with this, I'm going to resolve this early, to free up people's mana so they can bet on more interesting things