Source: The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo for "Trap" (2024).
I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (e.g. typically the 3-day FSS weekend + previews).
For example, the "Domestic Opening" for the M. Night Shyamalan's "Old" was $$16,854,735. This is the equivalent number I will use.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,679 | |
| 2 | Ṁ132 | |
| 3 | Ṁ111 | |
| 4 | Ṁ96 | |
| 5 | Ṁ84 |
People are also trading
Not related to the bet (though this should resolve NO now) but the AI art for the cover image for this is great. The text on the standee...
it's definitely going to resolve NO, but FWIW the numbers posted currently are from yesterday, i.e. they're the sunday morning estimates (before people had actually gone to the theaters yet). it's unlikely to change too much, the estimates are pretty good, but generally i wait until the actuals are reported (or even til they're posted to BOM, which can be a day later)
Gotcha gotcha - YES voters, it's not too late! Turn your Nintendo Switch Calendar to yesterday, power off and back on again, and go buy $5 million worth of Trap tix
I’m hoping to see it this weekend! Although m night movies are often most exciting before you see them
Haha that's true but movie theatres are kind of dying too so even if the movie is good I don't know how well it'll perform
May was disastrous but june/july have bounced back. I still by default assume everything will flop, but this got a lot of buzz and m night movies often do well commercially. $20mil might be a bit too high, the trades had it tracking a bit lower, but I wanted to err on the higher side in case it picks up
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?