How much will "Dune: Part Two" gross (domestic) during its 3rd weekend (March 15-17)?
16
126
600
resolved Mar 19
Resolved
YES
>$23 million (~50% decrease)
Resolved
YES
>$26 million (~44% decrease)
Resolved
NO
>$32 million (~30% decrease)
Resolved
NO
>$29 million (~37% decrease)

Source: BoxOfficeMojo—specifically the "Domestic" and "Weekend" tabs.

  • For example, "Dune: Part Two" released on March 1st, and grossed $82,505,391 during its first (i.e. opening) weekend (March 1st - 3rd). Source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2024W09/?ref_=bo_wey_table_8.

  • This is the equivalent number I will use (the "Gross" column), but instead for the weekend of March 15th - 17th (its second at the box office).

For context, as "Dune: Part Two" grossed 46,215,424 on its opening weekend, and 46,215,424 on its second weekend (a ~44% drop, but the first weekend includes previews).

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@traders The actuals are in, and Dune grossed $28,505,206, and the markets resolve using this figure.

Dune ain't done yet at the box office—can it make it to $700M WW? For next weekend, I made markets for (1) again predicting its gross, & (2) whether it can beat KFP4.