Source: The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo for "A Minecraft Movie" (2025).
I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (e.g. typically the 3-day FSS weekend + previews).
For example, the "Domestic Opening" for the "Captain America: Winter Solider" was $95,023,721. This is the equivalent number I will use.
This market will close early.
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@traders Sinners looks dope. made a quick, low liquidity market for live trading during the weekend:
@Ziddletwix I was hedging some other stuff, I expected it to beat 100m but I had way more certainty in a couple other Minecraft markets with better odds. Should've remembered to close out earlier though, just forgot lol
Why does Variety do this lmao. Posted this morning (!!!) https://variety.com/2025/film/news/minecraft-movie-box-office-previews-1236358670/
The film is projected to make between $70 million to $80 million in its opening weekend. Some estimates are as high as $90 million, but Warner Bros. is playing it safer and putting it at $65 million.
the highest number they give (which is only "some estimates are as high as $90M") is still off by like 50% lmao. what are they talking about??????
https://deadline.com/2025/04/a-minecraft-movie-box-office-preview-1236357167/
Somewhere, somehow, this will overindex, either overseas and/or domestic. Warners is seeing $65M stateside and $65M abroad for $130M. Right now, we’re giving overseas the edge given the funky marketplace in the U.S. and Canada.
$65M domestic!?!? why would i set the over/under to be $100M??? oops
(Note: you can bet however you'd like, but the trades are often very behind when stuff shifts last minute & I think this will be a laughable lowball.)