Will "A Minecraft Movie" gross >$100 million during its domestic opening weekend?
20
1kṀ3755
Apr 4
90%
chance

Source: The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo for "A Minecraft Movie" (2025).

  • I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (e.g. typically the 3-day FSS weekend + previews).

  • For example, the "Domestic Opening" for the "Captain America: Winter Solider" was $95,023,721. This is the equivalent number I will use.

  • This market will close early.

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https://deadline.com/2025/04/a-minecraft-movie-box-office-preview-1236357167/

Somewhere, somehow, this will overindex, either overseas and/or domestic. Warners is seeing $65M stateside and $65M abroad for $130M. Right now, we’re giving overseas the edge given the funky marketplace in the U.S. and Canada.

$65M domestic!?!? why would i set the over/under to be $100M??? oops

(Note: you can bet however you'd like, but the trades are often very behind when stuff shifts last minute & I think this will be a laughable lowball.)

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