Will >=36% of the opening weekend audience for "Joker: Folie à Deux" be women? (+3% higher than the 33% for "Joker")
10
22
300
Nov 1
85%
chance

"Joker" (2019) was widely considered a male-centric movie. "Joker: Folie à Deux" adds Lady Gaga in a starring role. Will her addition broaden the movie's appeal?

Source: Movio Weekend Insights

This site estimates the gender breakdown of each new release. If you go to October 4th, 2019, you can see that they estimate that 33% of the "Joker" (2019) opening weekend audience were women.

This market resolves YES if this same source reports that >=36% of the opening weekend audience for "Joker: Folie à Deux" are women.

  • I will use whatever Movio reports—I'm not personally confident in their methodology, and other sources may disagree.

  • If Movio does not report a demographic breakdown for the movie within a month of release, this market resolves N/A.

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