Which will leave the Netflix Top 10 first: "3 Body Problem", or "Avatar the Last Airbender"?
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resolved Apr 9
0.1%
3 Body Problem
100%99.9%
Avatar The Last Airbender

Source: the Netflix top 10 TV (English).

This week, "3 Body Problem" debuted on Netflix at #1, with 11.7 million views, while "Avatar The Last Airbender: Season 1" entered its 5th week in the top 10 with 3.4 million views.

  • This market resolves to the title which is first to be absent from the Netflix Top 10 in any future week.

  • If they are both absent for the first time in the same week, they both resolve to 50%.

"3 Body Problem" had much higher viewership this week (as "Avatar" has already had 4 weeks of decline), but it's overall viewership is much lower so it may decline more quickly.

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@traders (oops) this was a blowout—3 Body Problem holds the #1 spot as Avatar drops out entirely. This will resolve to Avatar.

How long can 3 Body Problem hold onto the top 10? I added two new markets: can it hold for 6 straight weeks, and can it outlast a fresh faced contender in "Parasyte: The Grey".

bought Ṁ10 Avatar The Last Airb...

The Three Body Problem is quite entertaining. I think it will gain momentum.

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