Which animated movies will "Despicable Me 4" outgross domestically?
Mini
8
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Oct 8
64%
>$126 million - Bee Movie
78%
>$251 million - Despicable Me (2010)
66%
>$264 million - Despicable Me 3
50%
>$336 million - Minions
38%
>$368 million - Despicable Me 2
35%
>$370 million - Minions: The Rise of Gru
27%
>$441 million - Shrek 2
41%
>$574 million - The Super Mario Bros. Movie

These markets will resolve based on the (cumulative) "DOMESTIC" gross for "Despicable Me 4" (2024) listed by BoxOfficeMojo three months after release (i.e. October 3rd ): https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2603516673/

Details

  • I will use the number displayed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (note: this is the domestic opening).

  • For simplicity, I rounded down the gross of previous films to the nearest million. These numbers (displayed in the current market options [1]) are what I will compare to the "Despicable Me 4" gross (not the full precision available elsewhere).

Example

  • The "DOMESTIC" gross for "Shrek the Third" was $322,719,944.

  • With this gross:

    • The [>$264 million - Despicable Me 3] option would resolve YES.

    • The [>$336 million - Minions] option would resolve NO.

For the worldwide gross, see @Tripping 's market. If you have any suggestions for formatting these markets more cleanly in the future, LMK.

[1]. Exception: If I made an actual mistake copying these down (i.e. not just a difference in source), then LMK and I can correct it.

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