Which movie(s) will win the *second* largest number of Oscars at the 96th Academy Awards?
Mini
9
5.0k
resolved Mar 11
Resolved
YES
Poor Things
Resolved
N/A
Barbie
Resolved
NO
Oppenheimer
Resolved
NO
Barbie
Resolved
NO
The Holdovers
Resolved
NO
Killers of the Flower Moon
Resolved
NO
Maestro

This will resolve to all movies that win the second largest number of Oscars won (by any movie) at the 96th Academy Awards. Please note how ties are handled:

  • Example #1: Oppenheimer wins 7, Barbie wins 4, all others win 3 or fewer. Only Barbie would resolve YES.

  • Example #2: Oppenheimer and Barbie each win 5 awards, Poor Things wins 4, all others win 3 or fewer. Only Poor Things would resolve YES.

  • Example #3: Oppenheimer and Barbie each win 4 awards, Poor Things and The Holdovers each win 3 awards, all others win 2 or fewer. Both Poor Things and The Holdovers would resolve YES, all other movies would resolve NO.


(Summary: Look at all counts of Oscars won by movies on the night, take the second biggest number, all movies who won that won exactly that many resolve YES).

Other details:

  • These options are independent, so multiple can resolve YES.

  • I accidentally added "Barbie" twice, but I N/A-ed it before any betting occurred. Please ignore.

  • I included the 7 nominees that I give a nontrivial chance of resolving YES. You can add other nominees if you'd like (I will N/A anything that isn't a valid Oscar nominee).

  • Please ask if any aspects of resolution are unclear.

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