WEMBANYAMA vs GIANNIS: whose jersey will sell for more at Sotheby's upcoming auction?
resolved Apr 13
Victor Wembanyama
Giannis Antetokounmpo

On April 11th, the famed auction house Sotheby's will finish auctioning off a set of game-worn jerseys from the NBA's biggest stars, including these two:

Both were given the same initial estimates by Sotheby's: USD 80,000 - 120,000 USD. This market resolves to the jersey which the Sotheby's website lists with a higher sale value at the auction.

Resolution details:

  • Example from a past auction: This painting by Vigée Le Brun sold for 3,085,000 USD. This is the number I will use.

  • Edge cases:

    • If either jersey is withdrawn before the auction, or I am unable to determine the sale price, it resolves N/A.

    • If one fails to sell at the auction, it resolves to the other.

    • If there's a tie or they both fail to sell at the auction, both resolve at 50%.

    • If any scenarios for resolution are unclear, please ask.

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@traders What's a god to an alien? A new star rises. Giannis' jersey sold for 69,850 USD, while Wemby's sold for 82,550 USD (you have to login to see the results for some reason). Resolves to Wemby.

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Another sports memorabilia market: will this Babe Ruth rookie card sell for >$500,000?

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