![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FZiddletwix%252Fdbbbfc228c85.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
This market will resolve YES if "Drive-Away Dolls" (2024) grosses more than $2,500,000 during its domestic opening weekend.
Source: The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt19356262/?ref_=bo_se_r_1 will be used to resolve this market.
I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined. For a concrete example, the "Domestic Opening" for "Oppenheimer" would have been $82,455,420.
For context, AFAIK, typically that "Domestic Opening" number is the 3-day total (plus Thursday previews) for North America (e.g. it wouldn't include a holiday Monday). But that's just my informal understanding, not a rule for resolution—I will use their "Domestic Opening", however they calculate it.
"Drive-Away Dolls" is the solo directorial debut of Ethan Coen (half of the Coen brothers), with the following premise:
This comedy caper follows Jamie, an uninhibited free spirit bemoaning yet another breakup with a girlfriend, and her demure friend Marian who desperately needs to loosen up. In search of a fresh start, the two embark on an impromptu road trip to Tallahassee, but things quickly go awry when they cross paths with a group of inept criminals along the way.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ220 | |
2 | Ṁ191 | |
3 | Ṁ28 | |
4 | Ṁ24 | |
5 | Ṁ11 |
TheNumbers with the early actuals again
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FyUrMw9-gfD.png?alt=media&token=0b9d0f6c-7ad6-42a0-be92-651bb51ab456)
@mattyb looks like the sunday morning 2.4M estimate ended up almost exactly on the mark.
I set the "marley vs 2 other movies for month of february" market thinking it'd be close, but that assumed a much smaller drop for marley than what we got (& now it doesn't look close at all)