MANIFOLD
[short-fuse] Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba—To the Hashira Training" gross >$13million during its opening weekend?
8
Ṁ170Ṁ2.5k
resolved Feb 28
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve to YES if "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba - To the Hashira Training" (2024) grosses more than $13,000,000 during its domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.

Source: The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl709394433/?ref_=bo_hm_rs will be used to resolve this market.

  • I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined. For a concrete example, the "Domestic Opening" for "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba - The Movie: Mugen Train" would have been $21,234,994.

  • For context, AFAIK, typically that "Domestic Opening" number is the 3-day total (plus Thursday previews) for North America (e.g. it wouldn't include a holiday Monday). But that's just my informal understanding, not a rule for resolution—I will use their "Domestic Opening", however they calculate it.

Plot synopsis:

Tanjiro undergoes rigorous training with the Stone Hashira, Himejima, in his quest to become a Hashira. Meanwhile, Muzan continues to search for Nezuko and Ubuyashiki.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ144
2Ṁ34
3Ṁ11
Sort by:
bought Ṁ313 NO

This opened well <$12M, and resolves NO

@Ziddletwix (Often, I optionally choose to wait until the BOM daily estimates have been updated before resolution. For some reason, BOM hasn't updated any of their numbers since Monday—no clue why. The number they list is nowhere near the threshold, and the "actual" dailies have been reported by all other outlets for several days, and are very close to the current number, so I can safely resolve this)

You posted the plot synopsis for the wrong movie

@ShakedKoplewitz oh my bad, it must have been posted wrong on whatever site I grabbed it from. is this better?

Tanjiro undergoes rigorous training with the Stone Hashira, Himejima, in his quest to become a Hashira. Meanwhile, Muzan continues to search for Nezuko and Ubuyashiki.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy