[Short-fuse] Will "Deadpool & Wolverine" (2024) receive the exact same "A" CinemaScore as "Deadpool" & "Deadpool 2"?

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resolved Jul 27

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YES

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This market resolves YES if "Deadpool & Wolverine" (2024) receives an A CinemaScore, and it resolves NO if it receives any other CinemaScore.

A- or lower resolves NO.
Exactly A resolves YES.
A+ resolves NO.

Context:

"Deadpool" (2016) and "Deadpool 2" (2018) each received an A CinemaScore.
Here's an infographic with the CinemaScores for other films in the MCU. A is the most common grade, but some score lower or higher.
You can search the CinemaScore website for more examples.

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@traders It's an A! Next check out CinemaScore markets for "Trap" and "Alien: Romulus":

/Ziddletwix/will-m-night-shyamalans-trap-2024-r

/Ziddletwix/will-alien-romulus-2024-receive-a-c

bought Ṁ16 NO

I assume B and C and other letters resolve no?

Yup those are lower than A-.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Didn't watch any of the movie, but I read some reviews and it sounds like they fucked up badly. I've never done any of these movie bets, but I'd guess B- or lower

Side bet? I'd give you 10-1 odds it will be at least a B. happy to make that market!

not willing to bet more than 100 so you lose making the market lol

I'd bet 100! i wouldn't lose from making the market, I can bet it down to 9% myself and then if I close it I get the remaining liquidity back anyways.

/Ziddletwix/will-deadpool-wolverine-2024-receiv

I put a limit order on NO at 9%, that should be 10-1 odds IIUC. feel free to take it! (side bets are fun)

(and dw i don't actually lose mana on creating the market because i get the liquidity back on resolution—i only lose the mana from the bet itself, if i lose)

@EricZhu it's an A! very consistent audience reactions these days

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