MANIFOLD
Best Lead Actor winner? (2026 Oscars)
102
Ṁ10kṀ39k
resolved Mar 16
100%56%
Michael B. Jordan - Sinners
32%
Timothee Chalamet - Marty Supreme
6%
Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle After Another
5%
Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent
1.4%
Ethan Hawke - Blue Moon
  • Resolves to the film that wins Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards—currently scheduled for March 15th, 2026.

  • This market may close before the show, to conserve liquidity.

OSCARS 2026 DASHBOARD

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this market seems all wrong, Jordan is like 15% to win

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