MANIFOLD
JIM VERSUS STEVE
10
Ṁ100Ṁ1.8k
resolved May 19
100%99.0%
JIM
1.0%
STEVE

Resolution: Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) price at Monday (May 19) close.

  • Resolves to JIM if MAGS is >=$52.15.

  • Resolves to STEVE if MAGS is <$52.15.

Context:

  • Steve predicts tech stocks will crash by Monday.

  • I will use Mag7 ETF (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla) as proxy for tech stocks (i.e. "big 7").

  • @jim is bullish enough to serve as an alternative (i.e. mascot) for the purposes of this market. I am projecting a hypothetical opinion onto him, opinions not his own.

  • $52.15 is today's closing price.

Market context
Technology
Business
Stocks
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schjime

@polymathematic curious why you bought JIM here? Good trade, but was it a vibes-based trade or a reasoned trade?

bought Ṁ50 NO

i also am wondering

@jim vibes based. Never bet against jim.

@Bayesian @jim also, after I bet, the number went up, which I always like, so I bet some more.

@polymathematic the number going up definitely improves the vibe

sold Ṁ6 NO

in theory this should be close to a coinflip. It's true I am very optimistic about these companies near-term, but I also have some faith in Steve's model...

so in the end I'm on jim's side, but it's marginal

@jim the mahdi is too humble to admit that he can predict market's daily (hourly?) fluctuations!

(i just needed any stand-in for the "market won't crash" belief)

@Ziddletwix I'm just fucking with you, obv resolves to JIM

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