If "Sinners" wins Best Actor, will it win Best Picture?
8
Ṁ10kṀ1.7kMar 15
38%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a conditional market.
If Michael B. Jordan does not win Best Actor (for "Sinners"), this market will resolve N/A.
If Michael B. Jordan wins Best Actor and "Sinners" wins Best Picture, this market resolves YES.
If Michael B. Jordan wins Best Actor and "Sinners" does not win Best Picture, this market resolves NO.
This market may close before the ceremony to preserve liquidity.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
"Hamnet" wins Best Picture?
3% chance
How many Oscars will "Sinners" win?
Which movie will win the Oscar for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Will Sinners be the Oscars 2026 Best Picture Winner?
15% chance
Best Lead Actor winner? (2026 Oscars)
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
81% chance
Will the eventual Best Picture winner also win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars?
83% chance
Which film will win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Will Marty Supreme be the Oscars 2026 Best Picture Winner?
5% chance
How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards?
1.8