How much will "A Quiet Place: Day One" (2024) gross during its domestic opening weekend?
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Plus
15
Ṁ4279
resolved Jul 1
Resolved
YES
>$36 million
Resolved
YES
>$42 million
Resolved
YES
>$48 million
Resolved
NO
>$54 million

Source: The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo for "A Quiet Place: Day One" (2024).

  • This market will close for trading on Thursday, June 27th, at 10PM PT. It will resolve when the actuals are posted, typically between Monday & Wednesday.

  • I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (e.g. typically the 3-day FSS weekend + previews).

  • For example, the "Domestic Opening" for "A Quiet Place Part II" (2020) was $47,547,231. This is the equivalent number I will use.

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@traders the actuals are $52,202,495. Not bad. For a mega opening, check out my Plus market for "Deadpool & Wolverine": /Ziddletwix/how-much-will-deadpool-wolverine-20

bought Ṁ100 >$54 million NO

Very meh movie, didn't expect much and was still a bit disappointed.

bought Ṁ25 >$42 million YES

Re: closing on Thurs, I'm just experimenting a bit with my markets. When I don't have the time to closely track box office myself, I don't necessarily want to pay for the full liquidity, so I'm seeing how well it works to run an opening weekend market that closes on Thurs.

Live trading can be part of the fun, so others should feel free to make a version that stays open for live trading if they want to (and I might run those too if there's a movie I think I'll actually be tracking & betting on myself).

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