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MANIFOLD
How many consecutive weeks will "KPop Demon Hunters" stay in the Netflix Top 10?
90
แน€3.4kแน€70k
Oct 10
0.1%
<13
0%
14-15
0%
16-17
0%
18-19
0%
20-21
0.1%
22-23
0%
24-25
0%
26
0%
27
0%
28
0%
29
0%
30
0%
31
0%
32
0%
33
0%
34
0%
35
0%
36
0%
37
0%
38

Source: Netflix Global Top 10 Movies | English

"KPop Demon Hunters" is already #1 on Netflix's all time list. As of market creation, it has stayed in the top 10 for 11 weeks (and was #1 in its 11th week). This market resolves to the number of consecutive weeks that "KPop Demon Hunters" appears in the Netflix Global Top 10 before it is absent for the first time.

The close date will be extended as needed.

Market context
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Why is this so high?

Lmao this will never end

@bens a more relevant market might be if/when it reaches #1 again.

@Ziddletwix can this please resolve to other? If not, can someone put a limit order on other at 99% so I can sell out?

@100Anonymous i am certainly not going to resolve this to "other" given that there are 5 weeks as options that have not occurred yet.

someone might be so overwhelmingly confident that it'll last 6+ more weeks that they'd go at 99% but imo that's a bit high, i'd be closer to ~97% or something instead. i haven't been tracking this closely but its views have declined a bit every week for the last 2+ months, doesn't seem so crazy that it could drop out within the next month. looks like there's at least a partial order at 98% you can take if you'd like.

bought แน€4 NO

Currently at 45. Could you add more options? ๐Ÿ˜Š

sold แน€82 YES

@4fa ok added the next 5w

If you keep extending this market and creating options that will resolve NO, then isn't holding Other YES guaranteed to lose mana?

@MarySmith that's not how other works.

(if someone creates a new option, everyone with shares in other get exactly that many shares in the new option & other)

Could you extend the closing time? ๐Ÿ˜Š

@Ziddletwix Wait, did you like my comment but not extend the closing date? ๐Ÿ˜… Description says: "The close date will be extended as needed."

@4fa lol sorry yeah I did because I was on the Train, agreed with you, and then when I tried to load Netflix to get new stats the internet cut out, and I forgot about it. My bad! But will add more weeks soon and reopen

@Ziddletwix Oops, closed again, could you extend?

Is there an easy way to see how many weeks it has been so far? Or could add dates to the newest options?

@4fa the source counts the # of weeks in the top 10

those are the total weeks in the top 10 historically, so once it drops out for the first time if it returns it won't be accurate ("consecutive"), but for the purpose of this market, this is the count. it's currently at 29.

@Ziddletwix Haha, I just had to scroll a bit. ๐Ÿ˜†

bought แน€50 NO

It dropped to #2, but it continues to hold very strong. I added a few additional weeks (this breaks them off from "other"), and I'll continue to add more as they become relevant.

@Ziddletwix Could you please add more weeks as they become relevant?