MANIFOLD
Best Live Action Short winner? (2026 Oscars)
9
Ṁ1kṀ3.7k
resolved Mar 16
50%50%
Two People Exchanging Saliva
50%26%
The Singers
2%
Butcher’s Stain
18%
A Friend of Dorothy
4%
Jane Austen’s Period Drama
  • Resolves to the film that wins Best Live Action Short at the 98th Academy Awards—currently scheduled for March 15th, 2026.

  • This market may close before the show, to conserve liquidity.

OSCARS 2026 DASHBOARD

  • Update 2026-03-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In the event of a tie, the market will resolve 50% to each tied winner.

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@traders FWIW, given the tie, I plan to resolve it to 50% each. I didn’t specifically address that edge case in the criteria but imo it’s quite straightforward

@Ziddletwix Thank you, much better than the nonsense on Kalshi.

@travis yeah one nice thing about manifold is we have the flexibility to not worry about nonsense like that

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